World
Quaest poll places Lula ahead in the first round and tied with Flávio Bolsonaro in a possible runoff
A survey released this Monday showed the president with 39% support, compared with 34% for the PL senator. In the second-round simulation, both are at 42%.
A Quaest poll released this Monday and cited by G1 Globo and Folha de S.Paulo showed Lula with 39% support in the first round, while Flávio Bolsonaro registered 34%.
According to the published data, the five-point gap is outside the two-percentage-point margin of error, so both moved past the technical tie seen in the previous measurement.
In the same survey, Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado are each at 4%, Renan Santos at 3% and Romeu Zema at 1%. Samara Martins does not reach 1% in this round. Undecided voters account for 5%, and those who said they would vote blank, spoil their ballot or not vote reach 10%.
In the spontaneous question, where no list of candidates is presented, Lula gets 31% and Flávio Bolsonaro 27%. The undecided share in that scenario reaches 31%.
For a possible second round between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, the poll shows 42% for each. In other matchups, Lula appears with 43% against Caiado, who has 40%; with 42% against Augusto Cury, who reaches 33%; with 42% against Renan Santos, who registers 39%; and with 46% against Romeu Zema, who gets 30%.
G1 Globo also reported that government approval stood at 46%, while disapproval was 49%.
The survey was commissioned by Globo and the newspaper O Globo. According to Brazilian media, 2,004 people aged 16 or older were interviewed between September 24 and 27, with a 95% confidence level. The study is listed under registration BR-06520/2026.
Sources
About this note. Written by El Notero with assistance from artificial intelligence, based on what was published by the cited outlet. El Notero did not do its own reporting on this event.
