World
BRASIL Datafolha poll shows strong turnout intent ahead of Brazil’s runoff
The survey found that 96% of Brazilian voters say they plan to cast a ballot on October 25. Another 1% said they do not intend to vote, while 3% remain undecided.
A Datafolha survey reported by O Globo and Folha de S.Paulo found that 96% of Brazilian voters say they intend to vote in the October 25 runoff. Another 1% said they do not plan to go to the polls, and 3% said they have not decided yet.
Among voters who say they support Lula, 98% said they expect to vote and 2% said they are still undecided. The same figures were recorded among supporters of Flávio Bolsonaro, with 98% saying they plan to vote and 2% still unsure.
Among respondents who said they plan to cast a blank or null ballot or back no candidate, 63% said they intend to show up, 23% said they likely would not vote, and 13% said they remain undecided.
According to Folha de S.Paulo, the poll surveyed 2,520 voters from Tuesday the 13th to Wednesday the 14th through face-to-face interviews in 153 municipalities. The margin of error is two percentage points, and the confidence level is 95%. The poll was commissioned by Folha and registered with Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court under code BR-00466/2026.
For the group that does not intend to vote or is still undecided, Datafolha said the most common reason was uncertainty about the candidates, cited by 47%. That was followed by doubts between the two contenders, at 27%, and dislike of both candidates, at 20%. Another 15% cited obstacles or practical impediments.
Other reasons appeared at lower levels: not liking elections or not feeling like voting, 11%; being out of town, 7%; having to work that day, 4%; not being required to vote because of age, 4%; saying they would cast a blank ballot, 3%; not having voted in the first round, 2%; distance from the polling place, 2%; not knowing the polling location, 1%; health problems, 1%; and the view that the winner is already decided, 1%.
According to O Globo, turnout in the first round of the presidential election was affected by an abstention rate above 21%, representing more than 33 million voters who did not go to the polls.
Sources
About this piece. Written by El Notero with AI assistance, from reporting published by the outlet cited above. El Notero did no original reporting on this story.
