World
Datafolha found Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro tied in rejection, with a close race in voting intentions
According to the poll released by O Globo and Folha de S.Paulo, both candidates have a 45% rejection rate. In first-round voting intention, Lula stands at 40% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 36%; in a potential runoff, the numbers are 47% to 45%.
A Datafolha poll released by O Globo and Folha de S.Paulo found that Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro share the highest rejection rate among presidential contenders, at 45% each.
The survey showed that this figure fell by two points for both men compared with the previous poll published on September 17, when each stood at 47%.
Other candidates posted lower rejection levels: Renan Santos at 15%, Romeu Zema at 14%, and Ronaldo Caiado at 13%. Further down were Rui Costa Pimenta and Samara Martins, both at 9%; Augusto Cury and Edmilson Costa at 8%; Hertz Dias, Leonardo Avalanche and Clariana Barão at 7%; and Wilson Grassi at 5%.
The same poll placed Lula at 40% in first-round voting intention and Flávio Bolsonaro at 36%. According to O Globo, that gap is at the limit of the margin of error.
In a possible runoff, Datafolha put Lula at 47% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 45%, keeping the candidates in a technical tie. In the previous survey, the figures were 46% and 44%, respectively.
According to O Globo, 80% of voters said they were fully decided on their presidential choice, while 20% said they could still change their minds. Among Lula voters, 87% said their decision was firm; among Flávio Bolsonaro voters, that share was 85%.
The poll was conducted with 2,002 people aged 16 or older on September 22 and 23. The margin of error is two percentage points, with a 95% confidence level. The TSE registration number is BR-00304/2026.
Sources
About this piece. Written by El Notero with AI assistance, from reporting published by the outlet cited above. El Notero did no original reporting on this story.
