Friday, September 25, 2026Fri, Sep 25 World Edition  ·  Español
Politics of Miami, Paraguay, Argentina, Uruguay and the world
← Back to front page

World

Datafolha in Pernambuco shows Lula widening his lead over Flávio Bolsonaro

A poll reported by O Globo puts Lula at 60% of voting intention for Brazil’s 2026 presidential race in Pernambuco, compared with 24% for Flávio Bolsonaro. The survey also tested a runoff scenario and measured views of the federal government in the state.

1 min read

Foto de archivo: Palácio do Planalto from Brasilia, Brasi… / CC BY 2.0

A Datafolha poll reported by O Globo found that, in Pernambuco, Lula leads voting intention for Brazil’s 2026 presidential election with 60%, while Flávio Bolsonaro stands at 24%.

According to the survey, Augusto Cury follows with 3%, while Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado each have 2%. Samara Martins, Romeu Zema, Edmilson Costa, Rui Costa Pimenta, Wilson Grassi and Clariana Barão are all at 0%. Hertz Dias was not mentioned, and Leonardo Avalanche also was not cited. Blank, null or no vote totals 5%, and undecided voters account for 2%.

O Globo said the previous Datafolha poll released on September 12 had Lula at 55% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 24%.

In a simulated runoff between the two, Lula reaches 64% and Flávio Bolsonaro 29%, with 6% choosing blank, null or no vote and 1% undecided.

The poll also measured views of the federal government in Pernambuco. According to figures published by O Globo, 64% approve of Lula’s administration and 33% disapprove, while 3% do not know. On the president’s overall rating, 50% describe it as excellent or good, 27% as bad or very bad, 21% as average, and 2% did not know.

The survey was commissioned by Globo and Folha de S.Paulo. It interviewed 1,204 people between September 22 and 24, with a margin of error of three percentage points and a 95% confidence level. The registration numbers reported were PE-08125/2026 and BR-05465/2026.

Sources

About this piece. Written by El Notero with AI assistance, from reporting published by the outlet cited above. El Notero did no original reporting on this story.

More from this edition